Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Jessica Andrade vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Jasmine Jasudavicius
53%
47%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
34
Age
Δ 3y
36
26-16
Career record
Δ 18 pp
16-4
L1
Current streak
W4
28
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Andrade: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Jasudavicius: 11 sig / 1 TD
Jessica Andrade
Jasmine Jasudavicius
76
Sig strikes landed
61
163
Sig strikes attempted
137
103
Total strikes landed
99
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
8.6
1.30
Knockdowns
-0.10
274s
Control time
339s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
28 fights · 17-11
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W4
Jasmine Jasudavicius
16-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—