🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Manon Fiorot
82%
18%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
37
Age
Δ 2y
35
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-2
W1
Current streak
W7
17
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Shevchenko: 72 sig / 2 TD ·
Fiorot: 71 sig / 1 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Manon Fiorot
80
Sig strikes landed
69
172
Sig strikes attempted
169
127
Total strikes landed
113
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.2
10.0
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
258s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
17 fights · 13-3
Last 5
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W7
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—