Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bryce Mitchell
Jean Silva
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
19-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-3
W1
Current streak
W4
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Mitchell: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 27 sig / 0 TD
Bryce Mitchell
Jean Silva
24
Sig strikes landed
30
49
Sig strikes attempted
49
42
Total strikes landed
35
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.3
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
197s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bryce Mitchell
"Thug Nasty"
19-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
L
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
W4
Jean Silva
"Lord"
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—