Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yair Rodriguez
Patricio Pitbull
37%
63%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
32
Age
Δ 5y
38
L2
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 70 sig / 1 TD ·
Pitbull: 17 sig / 1 TD
Yair Rodriguez
Patricio Pitbull
68
Sig strikes landed
47
142
Sig strikes attempted
100
84
Total strikes landed
62
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
21-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 10-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
Blue corner
Patricio Pitbull
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38