Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Sean Woodson
42%
58%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 7"
78"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
19-12
Career record
Δ 21 pp
14-2-1
L2
Current streak
W4
18
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Ige: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Woodson: 51 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Sean Woodson
61
Sig strikes landed
71
143
Sig strikes attempted
135
68
Total strikes landed
87
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
18 fights · 10-8
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner
W4
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
14-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
D
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—