Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yan Xiaonan
Virna Jandiroba
42%
58%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
36
Age
Δ 1y
37
20-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
24-4
W1
Current streak
W4
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Xiaonan: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Jandiroba: 11 sig / 3 TD
Yan Xiaonan
Virna Jandiroba
56
Sig strikes landed
50
107
Sig strikes attempted
119
72
Total strikes landed
87
-0.1
Takedowns landed
3.0
-0.4
Takedowns attempted
8.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
14s
Control time
329s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Yan Xiaonan
20-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
W4
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
24-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—