Prelims2
Middleweight
Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sedriques Dumas
Michal Oleksiejczuk
38%
62%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
11-5
Career record
Δ 0 pp
22-10
W1
Current streak
L3
5
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dumas: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 34 sig / 0 TD
Sedriques Dumas
Michal Oleksiejczuk
34
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
57
57
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
145s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sedriques Dumas
"The Reaper"
11-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
L3
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—