Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Chase Hooper
53%
47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
42
Age
Δ 16y
26
40-19
Career record
Δ 6 pp
17-5-1
W1
Current streak
W4
40
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 13 sig / 1 TD ·
Hooper: 21 sig / 8 TD
Jim Miller
Chase Hooper
30
Sig strikes landed
54
140
Sig strikes attempted
114
41
Total strikes landed
86
0.6
Takedowns landed
3.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
239s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
42
In our database
40 fights · 23-16
Last 5
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W4
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
17-5-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—