Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jalin Turner
Ignacio Bahamondes
43%
57%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
15-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
18-7
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Turner: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Bahamondes: 10 sig / 0 TD
Jalin Turner
Ignacio Bahamondes
58
Sig strikes landed
71
130
Sig strikes attempted
140
65
Total strikes landed
87
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
64s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
15-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
Blue corner
W2
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
18-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—