Main
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos vs Iasmin Lucindo
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Iasmin Lucindo
27%
73%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
38
Age
Δ 15y
23
15-7-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-6
L1
Current streak
W4
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lemos: 12 sig / 3 TD ·
Lucindo: 4 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Lemos
Iasmin Lucindo
40
Sig strikes landed
41
74
Sig strikes attempted
91
62
Total strikes landed
60
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
98s
Control time
189s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Amanda Lemos
15-7-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
Blue corner
W4
Iasmin Lucindo
19-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—