Prelims1
Middleweight
Brunno Ferreira vs Armen Petrosyan
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brunno Ferreira
Armen Petrosyan
79%
21%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
15-4
Career record
Δ 19 pp
9-6
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Ferreira: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Petrosyan: 46 sig / 0 TD
Brunno Ferreira
Armen Petrosyan
40
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
59
53
Total strikes landed
42
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
39s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
15-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
L2
Armen Petrosyan
"Superman"
9-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—