Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
JJ Aldrich
38%
62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
13-12
Career record
Δ 13 pp
15-8
L5
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lee: 53 sig / 1 TD ·
Aldrich: 74 sig / 2 TD
Andrea Lee
JJ Aldrich
61
Sig strikes landed
68
130
Sig strikes attempted
140
87
Total strikes landed
96
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
143s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L5
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 5-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
JJ Aldrich
15-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—