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Prelims1 Flyweight

Charles Johnson vs Ramazan Temirov

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Charles Johnson
Ramazan Temirov
31% 69%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 7"
63"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
20-8
Career record
Δ 16 pp
20-3
W4
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnson: 66 sig / 0 TD · Temirov: 55 sig / 1 TD
Charles Johnson
Ramazan Temirov
55
Sig strikes landed
46
171
Sig strikes attempted
107
62
Total strikes landed
45
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
40s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Charles Johnson

"InnerG"
20-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Blue corner
W1

Ramazan Temirov

"Temurlan"
20-3
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…