Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Hyder Amil
William Gomis
50%
50%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
12-2
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-4
W2
Current streak
W4
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Amil: 115 sig / 1 TD ·
Gomis: 101 sig / 0 TD
Hyder Amil
William Gomis
42
Sig strikes landed
41
82
Sig strikes attempted
94
56
Total strikes landed
50
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
62s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W4
William Gomis
"Jaguar"
16-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—