Back to UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Prelims1 Featherweight

Ricardo Ramos vs Chepe Mariscal

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Chepe Mariscal
50% 50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
30
Age
Δ 3y
32
18-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-7
W1
Current streak
W4
13
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ramos: 37 sig / 1 TD · Mariscal: 85 sig / 2 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Chepe Mariscal
40
Sig strikes landed
48
101
Sig strikes attempted
91
51
Total strikes landed
72
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
65s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ricardo Ramos

18-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
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L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
W4

Chepe Mariscal

"Machine Gun"
19-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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W UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
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W UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
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