Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cody Brundage
Julian Marquez
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
12-9-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
9-7
L1
Current streak
L3
10
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brundage: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Marquez: 37 sig / 0 TD
Cody Brundage
Julian Marquez
31
Sig strikes landed
28
66
Sig strikes attempted
62
44
Total strikes landed
39
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cody Brundage
12-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
Blue corner
L3
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—