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Nikolay Veretennikov vs Austin Vanderford

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Nikolay Veretennikov
Austin Vanderford
46% 54%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Veretennikov: 5 sig / 0 TD · Vanderford: 39 sig / 2 TD
Nikolay Veretennikov
Austin Vanderford
47
Sig strikes landed
43
87
Sig strikes attempted
87
57
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nikolay Veretennikov

"Gladiator"
14-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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Blue corner

Austin Vanderford

"The Gentleman"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35