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Prelims1 Middleweight

Nursulton Ruziboev vs Eric McConico

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nursulton Ruziboev
Eric McConico
91% 9%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
31
Age
Δ 3y
35
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ruziboev: 20 sig / 0 TD · McConico: 5 sig / 0 TD
Nursulton Ruziboev
Eric McConico
32
Sig strikes landed
18
64
Sig strikes attempted
35
45
Total strikes landed
31
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
66s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nursulton Ruziboev

"Black"
36-10-2 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
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W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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Blue corner

Eric McConico

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35