Back to UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ricky Simon vs Javid Basharat

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ricky Simon
Javid Basharat
57% 43%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
32
Age
Δ 3y
30
22-8-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-3
L3
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Simon: 11 sig / 1 TD · Basharat: 20 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Simon
Javid Basharat
52
Sig strikes landed
50
111
Sig strikes attempted
100
73
Total strikes landed
72
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
6.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
244s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Ricky Simon

22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
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L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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Blue corner
L1

Javid Basharat

"The Snow Leopard"
15-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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