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Prelims1 Middleweight

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Nick Klein

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Nick Klein
72% 28%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
27
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Abdul-Malik: 29 sig / 1 TD · Klein: 28 sig / 1 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Nick Klein
36
Sig strikes landed
22
72
Sig strikes attempted
48
46
Total strikes landed
28
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
125s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Mansur Abdul-Malik

10-1-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
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Blue corner

Nick Klein

"Blue Collar"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30