Main
Middleweight
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brendan Allen
Anthony Hernandez
72%
28%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
26-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
W6
15
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Allen: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Hernandez: 30 sig / 4 TD
Brendan Allen
Anthony Hernandez
46
Sig strikes landed
44
89
Sig strikes attempted
93
60
Total strikes landed
62
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brendan Allen
"All In"
26-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
Blue corner
W6
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—