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Main Bantamweight

Henry Cejudo vs Song Yadong

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Henry Cejudo
Song Yadong
31% 69%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
38
Age
Δ 11y
27
16-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-10-1
L2
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cejudo: 67 sig / 0 TD · Yadong: 84 sig / 0 TD
Henry Cejudo
Song Yadong
67
Sig strikes landed
84
137
Sig strikes attempted
169
80
Total strikes landed
97
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
177s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Henry Cejudo

"Triple C"
16-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
L UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
Blue corner
L1

Song Yadong

"Kung Fu Kid"
23-10-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 14 fights · 10-3
Last 5
L UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—