Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Vince Morales vs Elijah Smith

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Vince Morales
Elijah Smith
30% 70%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
34
Age
Δ 12y
22
L3
Current streak
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9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morales: 40 sig / 2 TD · Smith: 40 sig / 3 TD
Vince Morales
Elijah Smith
48
Sig strikes landed
51
111
Sig strikes attempted
108
65
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
90s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Vince Morales

"Vandetta"
16-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
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L UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
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W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
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W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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Blue corner

Elijah Smith

"Swift"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22