Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Don'Tale Mayes vs Valter Walker

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Don'Tale Mayes
Valter Walker
20% 80%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
11-10
Career record
Δ 42 pp
16-1
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Mayes: 1 sig / 0 TD · Walker: 1 sig / 1 TD
Don'Tale Mayes
Valter Walker
23
Sig strikes landed
30
52
Sig strikes attempted
63
39
Total strikes landed
59
0.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
0.5
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
31s
Control time
279s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Don'Tale Mayes

"Lord Kong"
11-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
Blue corner
W1

Valter Walker

"The Clean Monster"
16-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—