Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Angela Hill vs Ketlen Souza

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Ketlen Souza
28% 72%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
40
Age
Δ 10y
30
19-17
Career record
Δ 21 pp
17-6
L1
Current streak
W2
26
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hill: 86 sig / 2 TD · Souza: 70 sig / 0 TD
Angela Hill
Ketlen Souza
50
Sig strikes landed
67
106
Sig strikes attempted
148
78
Total strikes landed
108
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
1.00
Knockdowns
0.30
197s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 26 fights · 12-14
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
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Blue corner
W2

Ketlen Souza

"Esquentadinha"
17-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
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W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
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