Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Prelims1 Featherweight

Connor Matthews vs Jose Delgado

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Connor Matthews
Jose Delgado
36% 64%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Matthews: 6 sig / 2 TD · Delgado: 21 sig / 0 TD
Connor Matthews
Jose Delgado
43
Sig strikes landed
57
99
Sig strikes attempted
122
56
Total strikes landed
75
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
112s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Connor Matthews

"The Controller"
7-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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Blue corner

Jose Delgado

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
27