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Main Middleweight

Rodolfo Vieira vs Andre Petroski

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Rodolfo Vieira
Andre Petroski
51% 49%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
12-5
Career record
Δ 1 pp
14-6
W2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vieira: 58 sig / 1 TD · Petroski: 55 sig / 0 TD
Rodolfo Vieira
Andre Petroski
24
Sig strikes landed
23
44
Sig strikes attempted
53
41
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.7
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
158s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Rodolfo Vieira

12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
L UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Blue corner
W2

Andre Petroski

14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
W UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley