Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Julia Avila vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Julia Avila
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
34%
66%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
37
Age
Δ 9y
28
9-5
Career record
Δ 20 pp
11-2
L1
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Avila: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Cavalcanti: 73 sig / 0 TD
Julia Avila
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
42
Sig strikes landed
51
90
Sig strikes attempted
100
76
Total strikes landed
64
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.5
Takedowns attempted
0.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
191s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Julia Avila
"Raging Panda"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
W3
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—