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Prelims1 Featherweight

Jamall Emmers vs Gabriel Miranda

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jamall Emmers
Gabriel Miranda
71% 29%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
22-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
17-9
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Emmers: 33 sig / 0 TD · Miranda: 18 sig / 2 TD
Jamall Emmers
Gabriel Miranda
37
Sig strikes landed
30
73
Sig strikes attempted
74
64
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
29%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"
22-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
W UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
Blue corner
L1

Gabriel Miranda

"Fly"
17-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
W UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…