Back to UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg ·Arena CDMX
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Loopy Godinez
Julia Polastri
48% 52%
Why
61"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
32
Age
Δ 4y
27
14-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
L2
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Godinez: 84 sig / 5 TD · Polastri: 87 sig / 0 TD
Loopy Godinez
Julia Polastri
61
Sig strikes landed
63
135
Sig strikes attempted
124
87
Total strikes landed
83
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
244s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Loopy Godinez

14-7
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W1

Julia Polastri

"Psycho"
15-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—