Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Kevin Borjas
83%
17%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
18-3
Career record
Δ 23 pp
10-6
W2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 64 sig / 1 TD ·
Borjas: 83 sig / 0 TD
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Kevin Borjas
45
Sig strikes landed
33
102
Sig strikes attempted
94
71
Total strikes landed
45
3.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
287s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ronaldo Rodriguez
"Lazy Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
Blue corner
L2
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
10-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—