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SeungWoo Choi vs Kevin Vallejos

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
SeungWoo Choi
Kevin Vallejos
17% 83%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
32
Age
Δ 9y
23
L1
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Choi: 16 sig / 0 TD · Vallejos: 14 sig / 0 TD
SeungWoo Choi
Kevin Vallejos
33
Sig strikes landed
42
90
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
63
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
72s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

SeungWoo Choi

"Sting"
11-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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L UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
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Blue corner

Kevin Vallejos

"El Chino"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
23