Prelims1
Heavyweight
Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Ryan Spann
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Ryan Spann
62%
38%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
33
Age
Δ 0y
34
18-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
25-11
W3
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cortes Acosta: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Spann: 23 sig / 0 TD
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Ryan Spann
43
Sig strikes landed
39
79
Sig strikes attempted
91
65
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
25-11
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—