Prelims1
Lightweight
Terrance McKinney vs Damir Hadzovic
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
·anb Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Terrance McKinney
Damir Hadzovic
77%
23%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
18-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
14-9
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McKinney: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Hadzovic: 4 sig / 1 TD
Terrance McKinney
Damir Hadzovic
35
Sig strikes landed
21
75
Sig strikes attempted
34
47
Total strikes landed
29
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
L1
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—