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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Mayra Bueno Silva
75% 25%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
36
Age
Δ 2y
33
16-4
Career record
Δ 27 pp
10-8-1
W3
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
11

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jasudavicius: 56 sig / 3 TD · Bueno Silva: 37 sig / 0 TD
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Mayra Bueno Silva
54
Sig strikes landed
42
112
Sig strikes attempted
105
87
Total strikes landed
69
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
338s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Jasmine Jasudavicius

16-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
W UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
L UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
W UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Blue corner
L2

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"
10-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 11 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
L UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…