Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Zach Reese
Azamat Bekoev
35%
65%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Reese: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Bekoev: 21 sig / 1 TD
Zach Reese
Azamat Bekoev
28
Sig strikes landed
28
60
Sig strikes attempted
51
40
Total strikes landed
47
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Zach Reese
"Savage"
11-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
Blue corner
Azamat Bekoev
"Iron"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29