Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ricky Turcios
Benardo Sopaj
39%
61%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
32
Age
Δ 7y
24
13-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Turcios: 78 sig / 1 TD ·
Sopaj: 81 sig / 2 TD
Ricky Turcios
Benardo Sopaj
47
Sig strikes landed
47
112
Sig strikes attempted
110
68
Total strikes landed
70
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.4
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
251s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricky Turcios
13-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
L1
Benardo Sopaj
"Lion King"
13-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—