Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Preston Parsons
Jacobe Smith
38%
62%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
29
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Parsons: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Smith: 12 sig / 0 TD
Preston Parsons
Jacobe Smith
38
Sig strikes landed
40
77
Sig strikes attempted
77
56
Total strikes landed
82
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.1
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
11-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
Jacobe Smith
"Cobe"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29