Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Punahele Soriano
Uros Medic
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
14-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-3
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Soriano: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Medic: 2 sig / 0 TD
Punahele Soriano
Uros Medic
40
Sig strikes landed
40
70
Sig strikes attempted
76
51
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
103s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
14-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—