Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Christian Rodriguez
Austin Bashi
41%
59%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
27
Age
Δ 4y
23
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 44 sig / 2 TD ·
Bashi: 23 sig / 3 TD
Christian Rodriguez
Austin Bashi
36
Sig strikes landed
32
72
Sig strikes attempted
71
51
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
99s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
Blue corner
Austin Bashi
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23