Main
Middleweight
Cesar Almeida vs Abdul Razak Alhassan
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cesar Almeida
Abdul Razak Alhassan
61%
39%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
37
Age
Δ 3y
39
8-2
Career record
Δ 17 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Almeida: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Razak Alhassan: 17 sig / 0 TD
Cesar Almeida
Abdul Razak Alhassan
39
Sig strikes landed
35
72
Sig strikes attempted
62
45
Total strikes landed
38
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
63s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cesar Almeida
"Cesinha"
8-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
L
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
Blue corner
L1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
13 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—