Back to UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Main Women's Strawweight

Molly McCann vs Alexia Thainara

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Alexia Thainara
30% 70%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
L1
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McCann: 9 sig / 0 TD · Thainara: 11 sig / 1 TD
Molly McCann
Alexia Thainara
57
Sig strikes landed
56
117
Sig strikes attempted
113
69
Total strikes landed
81
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Molly McCann

"Meatball"
14-9
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
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L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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L UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
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Blue corner

Alexia Thainara

"Burguesinha"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29