Main
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Carlos Ulberg
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Carlos Ulberg
55%
45%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
42
Age
Δ 8y
34
29-12-2
Career record
Δ 27 pp
16-1
L1
Current streak
W7
20
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Blachowicz: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Ulberg: 75 sig / 0 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Carlos Ulberg
41
Sig strikes landed
63
103
Sig strikes attempted
116
52
Total strikes landed
76
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
46s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jan Blachowicz
29-12-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
20 fights · 12-7
Last 5
L
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
D
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W7
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—