Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rongzhu
Kody Steele
88%
12%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rongzhu: 125 sig / 0 TD ·
Steele: 59 sig / 1 TD
Rongzhu
Kody Steele
54
Sig strikes landed
38
106
Sig strikes attempted
83
80
Total strikes landed
51
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
167s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Rongzhu
28-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
Kody Steele
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30