Prelims2
Welterweight
Jonathan Micallef vs Kevin Jousset
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jonathan Micallef
Kevin Jousset
71%
29%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Micallef: 85 sig / 0 TD ·
Jousset: 67 sig / 0 TD
Jonathan Micallef
Kevin Jousset
43
Sig strikes landed
46
90
Sig strikes attempted
81
57
Total strikes landed
58
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jonathan Micallef
"The Captain"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner
L1
Kevin Jousset
"Air"
10-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
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W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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