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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Wang Cong vs Bruna Brasil

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Wang Cong
Bruna Brasil
65% 35%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
33
Age
Δ 1y
31
9-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
12-7-1
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cong: 103 sig / 2 TD · Brasil: 31 sig / 0 TD
Wang Cong
Bruna Brasil
29
Sig strikes landed
35
66
Sig strikes attempted
65
55
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
167s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Wang Cong

"The Joker"
9-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
Blue corner
W1

Bruna Brasil

12-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
W UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…