Back to UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Prelims1 Lightweight

Tom Nolan vs Viacheslav Borshchev

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tom Nolan
Viacheslav Borshchev
82% 18%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
25
Age
Δ 8y
33
11-1
Career record
Δ 39 pp
9-7-1
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nolan: 69 sig / 1 TD · Borshchev: 66 sig / 0 TD
Tom Nolan
Viacheslav Borshchev
49
Sig strikes landed
39
115
Sig strikes attempted
82
54
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.1
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Tom Nolan

"Big Train"
11-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
Blue corner
W1

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"
9-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
D UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—