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Main Light Heavyweight

Jimmy Crute vs Rodolfo Bellato

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Jimmy Crute
Rodolfo Bellato
51% 49%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
14-5-2
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-3-1
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Crute: 106 sig / 0 TD · Bellato: 89 sig / 1 TD
Jimmy Crute
Rodolfo Bellato
31
Sig strikes landed
31
66
Sig strikes attempted
54
41
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
100s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jimmy Crute

14-5-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
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D UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
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L UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
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Blue corner
W1

Rodolfo Bellato

"Trator"
14-3-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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