Back to UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Main Heavyweight

Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Justin Tafa
Tallison Teixeira
34% 66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 9"
83"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
L1
Current streak
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9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tafa: 0 sig / 0 TD · Teixeira: 8 sig / 0 TD
Justin Tafa
Tallison Teixeira
23
Sig strikes landed
33
38
Sig strikes attempted
60
33
Total strikes landed
48
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.3
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Justin Tafa

"Bad Man"
7-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
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W UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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W UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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Blue corner

Tallison Teixeira

"Xicao"
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25