🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili vs Tatiana Suarez
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Weili
Tatiana Suarez
80%
20%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
36
Age
Δ 1y
34
27-4
Career record
Δ 6 pp
14-1
W4
Current streak
W7
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Weili: 53 sig / 1 TD ·
Suarez: 12 sig / 1 TD
Zhang Weili
Tatiana Suarez
59
Sig strikes landed
53
105
Sig strikes attempted
100
93
Total strikes landed
78
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
135s
Control time
262s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
Blue corner
W7
Tatiana Suarez
14-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—